Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.146727 0.169687 0.195031 0.225079 0.259735 0.298456 0.345014
2025-11-23 0.109826 0.140452 0.177734 0.226453 0.288458 0.364777 0.465943
2025-11-30 0.090768 0.124522 0.168513 0.230036 0.313897 0.424312 0.580958
2025-12-07 0.075195 0.109249 0.156175 0.225542 0.325540 0.464639 0.673215
2025-12-14 0.064178 0.097998 0.146907 0.222761 0.337545 0.504987 0.768394
2025-12-21 0.057005 0.091006 0.142346 0.225466 0.356816 0.556737 0.885001
2025-12-28 0.052916 0.087978 0.143046 0.235762 0.388182 0.629324 1.041027
2026-01-04 0.048647 0.083982 0.141543 0.242039 0.413406 0.694414 1.191840
2026-01-11 0.044827 0.080165 0.139728 0.247314 0.437163 0.759086 1.348527
2026-01-18 0.040983 0.075770 0.136326 0.249272 0.455124 0.815391 1.496413
2026-01-25 0.036870 0.070358 0.130465 0.246048 0.463273 0.855032 1.618364
2026-02-01 0.032653 0.064224 0.122576 0.238102 0.461685 0.876639 1.708903
2026-02-08 0.030571 0.061966 0.121705 0.243454 0.486050 0.949298 1.905516
2026-02-15 0.028225 0.058914 0.118989 0.244933 0.503122 1.010015 2.086044
2026-02-22 0.026403 0.056684 0.117598 0.248807 0.525221 1.082527 2.297772
2026-03-01 0.023900 0.052731 0.112275 0.243948 0.528757 1.117969 2.436636
2026-03-08 0.021852 0.049500 0.108077 0.240941 0.535748 1.161009 2.595946
2026-03-15 0.020528 0.047701 0.106706 0.243865 0.555792 1.233449 2.826819
2026-03-22 0.019972 0.047568 0.108933 0.254999 0.595182 1.351573 3.172232
2026-03-29 0.019112 0.046627 0.109247 0.261785 0.625377 1.452301 3.488696
2026-04-05 0.018236 0.045543 0.109113 0.267489 0.653625 1.551372 3.811888
2026-04-12 0.017190 0.043926 0.107554 0.269606 0.673523 1.633026 4.102101
2026-04-19 0.015890 0.041526 0.103872 0.266120 0.679368 1.681940 4.317331